RISK INTELLIGENCE REPORTS - 5th June 2025
Members are invited to consider the most recent Risk Intelligence reports provided at the annexes as follows:
· Annex A – Monthly Intelligence Report
· Annex B – Red Sea Updates
· Annex C – Northern Black Sea Security Updates
· Annex D – Baltic Sea Security Updates
Annex A summarises the maritime security situation in South Asia, the Western Indian Ocean, and Southeast Asia. The monthly report also spotlights the recent military operations between India and Pakistan prompted by the recent terror attack in Kashmir, focusing on the maritime trade dimension and its role as a future barometer for relations between the nations.
Annex B provides the most recent security updates in the Red Sea, where the situation has remained stable since the US-Houthi ceasefire. The Houthis have continued their attacks on Israel, leading to Israel to respond in turn with airstrikes in Sana’a on 28 May. Further, the Houthis have announced a “maritime blockade” on the port of Haifa in Israel, meaning any commercial ship that has called at Haifa or whose owners are calling at Haifa with other vessels in their fleet are at risk of attack.
Annex C summarises the most recent security updates in the Black Sea, where there have been no attacks since the 23 May missile strike on the port of Odesa. While diplomatic activity continues, it’s unlikely that a ceasefire is imminent, meaning that Ukrainian and Russian port infrastructure remains at risk of bombardment.
Annex D summarises the recent security events in the Baltic Sea where there has been an increase in vessel scrutiny and military exercises since the beginning of 2025.
In accordance with the scope of the agreement between ICS and Risk Intelligence, members are requested not to circulate the report further in its entirety. Members may precis the report or use extracts from it to help advise members on key issues or to assist in enquiries. In such cases, Risk Intelligence should be acknowledged as the source of the information.
MC(25)79 -Annex A – Monthly Intelligence Report June 2025
MC(25)79 -Annex B – RI Red Sea Security Update 4.6.25